Saturday, August 30, 2025

Sherrod Brown Redux

I see that Sherrod Brown is trying to get back into the Senate by replacing John Husted.

Here are a couple of campaign mailers from 2024. We surmise the Democrats were only sending them to registered Republicans.

Looks like the upshot is that Bernie Moreno is a scuzzy foreigner. I would have thought this line of attack would be off-brand for the Democrats, but never underestimate your opponent's opportunism.

Similarly:

I expect few Ohio voters had ever heard of Don Kissick apart from this Democrat-funded mailing. Their points being:

  • Wants the government completely out of your life

  • Wants absolutely no restrictions on firearms of any kind

  • Is a Navy Vet, but wants to end American foreign aid and pull us out of overseas conflicts

  • Promotes a radical flat tax plan that cuts taxes and underfunds government programs

Down boy!

Of course, the Democrats never talk this way when they're actually arguing for Democrat policies. They never say "firearm restrictions", only "gun safety". They never say "government out of your life" as a general criticism, only about "reproductive health" when they're against intervention and "civil rights" when they're in favor of it. They never say "government programs" in general, only the most photogenic recipients in particular. Etc.

This was an obvious effort to siphon votes away from Moreno towards Kissick. This doesn't benefit Brown except to force a runoff election, but I assume the calculation is that Brown would have fared better in Ohio by not having Trump on the ticket. As discussed, the Democrats have the upper hand in low-turnout elections.

Which brings us to 2026, an off-year election where the Democrats can be expected to enjoy an out-of-power boost. Assuming the Democrats want to nominate an old white guy in the primary, I would expect Brown to have at least an even chance against the appointed Husted, who hasn't exactly lit the world on fire. We shall see.

2 comments:

heresolong said...

I love this quote:

""Voters didn't vote to lose their Medicaid," Brown said."

Husted needs to run some campaign ads emphasizing that most of the people who lost their Medicaid were illegal (aka not voters), while the rest were healthy young people who should be out working.

Dr. Φ said...

My heterodox opinion for the day is that efforts in the BBB to restrict Medicaid coverage among American citizens don't pass the appropriate risk/reward threshold: (1) "healthy young people" definitionally don't consume much health care, so removing them from the rolls doesn't save much money; (2) Medicaid is objectively terrible -- few doctors take it and the coverage isn't great -- so people actually concerned about health care coverage are already incentivized to switch to an employer plan if they can; (3) the material upside of the Trump 2.0 agenda -- re-shore manufacturing, repatriate the immigrants -- for the working class is that their wages increase and their housing costs go down. If this pays out, and it should, any overuse of Medicaid should solve itself. But instead, we can expect lots of Democrat campaign talking points like Sherrod Brown's. We shall see.